Polls are almost always at least a bit off. Some of that is due to imperfect assumptions about what the likely voter electorate will look like. Some of that is due to statistical error. The 2024 presidential election was no different.

There were real — or so it was thought — signs of her impending success, analysts thought. Buoying the wave of assumptions were two polls released over the weekend showing Harris in a dominant position — one,

Donald Trump recaptured the White House on Wednesday, with exit polls and results showing the Republican candidate gaining support from male voters of color, and holding enough ground with suburban white women despite efforts by Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris to beat him on issues such as abortion.